Marathon Time Predictor

26.2 mi via Riegel. Most accurate from a recent half marathon.

Inputs

Result

Predicted Marathon
3:28:39
Pace 7:57/mi.
  • Base race13.1 mi
  • Base time100:00
  • Predicted marathon3:28:39
  • Pace7:57/mi

Step-by-step

  1. T₂ = T₁ × (26.22/13.1)^1.06 = 12,519s.

How to use this calculator

  • Enter recent race time.
  • Read marathon prediction.

About this calculator

Marathon predictor: 26.2 mile race time from recent shorter race. Most accurate from a recent half-marathon — same race-day fitness. From 5K, prediction is optimistic — extrapolation too far ignores marathon-specific endurance. Add 5-10% buffer if your longest training run is below 18 miles. World marathon record: 2:00:35 (Kelvin Kiptum, 2023).

Frequently asked

Half-marathon within 6 weeks. Closest physiology to marathon.

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